The advance that collect abundant believes He Yi: After CPI fall after a rise
From;    Author:Stand originally

Although data shows successive the CPI of 4 months is in fall after a rise, the money on message face also has nominal the evidence that become loose, point to if go like free falling body,still be in drop in the passageway. Since after platform division was being broken below the index August up to now, shanghai is deep 300 indexes had fallen 25% , since the stock market sees a top oneself, also had been successive the 11st month drops. Of market confidence frail, individually board piece the stock appears basically to fill each other dropping situation, reveal the difference on value basically without body. Although also have a few still be in defy drop, but weight the determined manner of be issued to lower levels, force a lot of also must debase social status.   

Why does investor confidence short

Although the near future does not have the benefit sky of materiality to come out to hit,control the market, but the deficient of investor confidence still may come from at so a few respects:

The fall after a rise that is CPI data above all does not show inflation had been stayed in by complete keep within limits, because was last year actually,be of 5-8 month on one hand compared to the same period base has been in perch, appear so data is opposite fall after a rise, on the other hand this number returns tomorrow is to have rebounding possibility;

Next, PPI data innovates again tall, rise compared to the same period 10.1 percent, since since coal report moved price June, product cost rises continuously, prospective PPI still has the possibility that conducts the price to CPI, the inflation that because this PPI did not appear,apparent fall after a rise remains conceal to wear is ghostliness;

Thirdly, although appeared on the market 2008,outstanding achievement of the newspaper in the company accords with the market basically to anticipate, but add fast glide and cash shedding index begins aggravation, the management pressure that reflects hypostatic economy to be faced with and fluidity shortage risk are increased, more trade situation bearing glides, and prospective gain forecasts existence reduce a risk.

Who has the period that put delay superior performance

What we see is, certificate business researcher to appearing on the market the outstanding achievement of the company anticipates adjust downward ceaselessly: Be opposite when the beginning of the year Shanghai is deep 300 indexes composition profit growth anticipated 2008 is 30% , and at present general view was to had arrived 15%-20% , in future 3 quarters forms for reporting statistics comes out hind, we predict to rise to glide with demand in cost below the influence that waits for negative factor, appear on the market pressure of company outstanding achievement will be greater, and the desired value of outstanding achievement growth end of the year may have the anxiety that continues to reduce.

Nevertheless, even if is in economic lowest cereal when, the profit that also can have partial industry and company certainly can surpass average level, their share price is due also better performance, what is more,the rather that the phase that current economic situation just still is in " of " soft landing. I believe or can find such a batch of companies, for instance equipment of medicine, railroad, there will be conspicuous show when economy puts delay. But as a result of market confidence low fan, in the situation that shows level to remain mud and sand are carried along-there is mingling of good and bad, each board piece had not pulled open difference, this actually namely the place of the opportunity.
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